Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
9º
30
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SLF
1 - 1
ADO
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 1
ADE
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ADO
1 - 1
ADE
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
3 - 0
ADO
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 3
SAP
37%
22%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 2
ADE
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
1 - 2
MOD
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 3
SAP
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAD
3 - 2
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 1
CRO
22%
22%
56%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |