Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
9º
30
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SLF
1 - 1
ADO
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 1
ADE
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ADO
1 - 1
ADE
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
3 - 0
ADO
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 3
SAP
37%
22%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 2
ADE
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
1 - 2
MOD
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 3
SAP
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAD
3 - 2
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 1
CRO
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |