Adelaide Olympic vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
68.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
9º
56
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 3
ADO
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ADO
3 - 0
SLF
62%
19%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 0
ADO
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ADE
5 - 1
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ADO
2 - 2
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
4 - 0
ADE
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
1 - 2
NEM
20%
20%
59%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NEM
5 - 1
SAP
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WAD
2 - 3
NEM
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 2
CRO
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |