Adelaide Olympic vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
53.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ADE
0 - 1
ADO
29%
22%
50%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
SAP
4 - 1
ADO
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 4
ADE
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
WES
3 - 3
ADO
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ADE
4 - 1
ADO
81%
12%
8%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
SAP
2 - 1
NEM
20%
20%
61%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NEM
2 - 0
WES
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 2
NEM
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ADE
0 - 1
NEM
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NEM
3 - 0
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |