Adelaide Olympic vs Croydon Kings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
12º
10º
28
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADO
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 4
MOD
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 2
ADO
79%
15%
7%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 1
ADE
26%
21%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WHI
4 - 0
ADO
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Croydon Kings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 3
NEM
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 4
CRO
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 4
MOD
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
CRO
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |