Adelaide Comets vs Para Hills Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
5º
22
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 62.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 0
ADE
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 5
ADE
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 0
ADO
60%
22%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
ADE
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
4 - 3
ADE
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
ADE
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
ADE
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 3
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 3
PAR
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
CUM
41%
24%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |