Adelaide Comets vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
5º
40
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
ADE
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 2
ADE
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 0
ADE
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 3
CAM
26%
25%
48%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NEM
0 - 4
ADE
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 3
NEM
8%
16%
76%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 0
ADO
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NEM
0 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 3
NEM
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +2 |