Adelaide Comets vs Heidelberg Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ADE
2 - 0
CRO
81%
13%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SAP
2 - 3
ADE
9%
14%
77%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
GWE
0 - 4
ADE
38%
21%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
ADE
3 - 2
CAM
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
KIN
4 - 1
HEU
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
HEU
4 - 2
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
HEU
4 - 1
GRE
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
HEU
0 - 2
HUM
85%
11%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
HEU
2 - 1
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |