Adelaide City vs White City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
4º
28
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 0
ADE
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
ADE
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 0
SAP
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 2
MOD
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 0
ADE
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
White City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
WHI
2 - 3
SAP
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 5
WHI
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 3
NEM
14%
18%
68%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
WHI
3 - 1
SLF
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ADO
2 - 2
WHI
49%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |