Adelaide City vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
BRI
3 - 0
ADE
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
ADE
0 - 3
SYD
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 1
ADE
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
NEW
2 - 1
ADE
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2002 |
ADE
1 - 1
PAP
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
0 - 0
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
PAP
0 - 1
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
SOU
2 - 1
SFC
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
MEL
2 - 3
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
SYD
2 - 2
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |