Adelaide City vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2000 |
ADE
1 - 2
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
SYD
4 - 1
ADE
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
ADE
3 - 1
MEL
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 4
ADE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
ADE
3 - 1
GIF
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
SOU
4 - 0
NCB
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
NCB
1 - 2
SOU
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
CSC
2 - 0
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2000 |
CSC
3 - 5
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |