Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ADE
1 - 2
ADE
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
NEM
1 - 1
ADE
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
ADE
1 - 1
ADE
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ADE
3 - 0
CUM
85%
11%
5%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ADE
2 - 0
CUM
76%
15%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 1
PAR
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
ADO
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAR
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRO
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PCP
1 - 3
PAR
8%
14%
78%
|
25 | 6 | 19 | +2 |