Adelaide City vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
PER
4 - 1
ADE
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
ADE
1 - 2
MAR
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 1
ADE
52%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
ADE
1 - 1
BRI
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
1 - 0
ADE
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
NZK
2 - 2
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
PAP
2 - 2
NZK
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
NZK
2 - 3
SFC
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 1
NZK
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
1 - 2
NZK
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |