Adelaide City vs Newcastle Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
WAD
1 - 0
ADE
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
ADE
0 - 0
GIF
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 1
ADE
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
ADE
3 - 0
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
SFC
1 - 0
ADE
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
NCB
3 - 1
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
MEL
1 - 0
NCB
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
NCB
1 - 0
CSC
43%
25%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
NCB
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1999 |
NCB
2 - 2
WAD
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |