Adelaide City vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
4º
38
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
ADE
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
54%
21%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 1
ADE
38%
23%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 3
SAP
79%
13%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 4
MOD
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 1
NEM
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 4
MOD
43%
23%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
4 - 4
ADE
37%
21%
42%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |