Adelaide City vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
9º
4º
30
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 2
ADE
10%
15%
76%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ADE
5 - 1
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
1 - 3
ADE
40%
23%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 2
SAP
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 1
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 4
MOD
47%
21%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 1
WAD
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CRO
3 - 2
MOD
47%
22%
30%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CAM
4 - 0
MOD
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |