Adelaide City vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
67.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
4º
40
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
ADE
43%
23%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 3
ADE
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 0
ADE
46%
22%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 3
CAM
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 0
ADE
31%
23%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NEM
2 - 0
SAP
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ADO
4 - 3
NEM
8%
17%
75%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 5
NEM
9%
16%
76%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
NEM
4 - 1
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 4
NEM
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +2 |