Adelaide City vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
NCB
0 - 0
ADE
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
ADE
0 - 1
SYD
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
BRI
2 - 2
ADE
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
ADE
4 - 1
CCO
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 0
BRI
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
MEL
3 - 1
CCO
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 4
CSC
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
SYD
0 - 3
MEL
48%
23%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |