Adelaide City vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WES
0 - 2
ADE
8%
16%
75%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
ADE
3 - 3
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WHI
1 - 1
ADE
13%
19%
69%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 1
NEM
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 3
ADE
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 3
LOG
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
GCK
2 - 2
LOG
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 4
QUE
7%
13%
80%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LOG
1 - 4
OLY
9%
14%
77%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
GOL
0 - 1
LOG
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |