Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
4º
28
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 0
ADE
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 2
MOD
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
ADE
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 1
ADE
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Croydon Kings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CRO
5 - 3
SAP
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADO
4 - 1
CRO
35%
23%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 3
NEM
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 4
CRO
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |