Adelaide City vs Adelaide United U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
4º
29
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 0
ADE
46%
22%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 3
CAM
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 0
ADE
31%
23%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 1
WHI
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 0
ADE
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
SAP
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 3
ADE
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 4
NEM
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 4
ADE
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
ADE
15%
18%
67%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |