Adelaide City vs Adelaide Raiders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
31%
21%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADO
3 - 3
ADE
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 3
WAD
12%
19%
69%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ADE
4 - 2
CRO
51%
22%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 3
ADE
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 4
WAD
6%
15%
79%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
5 - 2
ADE
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ADE
0 - 1
NEM
18%
22%
61%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAP
4 - 1
ADE
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 3
ADE
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -2 |