Adelaide Blue Eagles vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Blue Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
WAD
2 - 1
ADE
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ADE
0 - 1
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 1
ADE
36%
24%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 2
ADE
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
ADE
0 - 5
ADE
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
BAB
2 - 1
NEM
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
NEM
3 - 2
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 2
NEM
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NEM
3 - 0
CAM
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ADE
0 - 0
NEM
68%
18%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |