Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Raiders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Blue Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NEM
2 - 3
ADE
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ADE
4 - 0
WES
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
ADE
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 2
CAM
63%
21%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 2
WAD
11%
18%
72%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
WES
0 - 0
ADE
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ADE
3 - 1
CAM
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ADE
3 - 1
CRO
15%
21%
65%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +3 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
MOD
4 - 2
ADE
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |