Adana Demirspor vs Samsunspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
14º
18º
18º
43
1º
18º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 81 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 78 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 62 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 61 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 57 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 48 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 39 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
|
19º
|
5 | 30 |
18º
|
34% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 23 |
19º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation
|
88.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adana Demirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 1
ADA
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADA
0 - 2
ALA
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 1
ADA
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ADA
1 - 5
GAL
52%
22%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 2
ADA
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Samsunspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
4 - 3
GOZ
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RIZ
0 - 1
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
IST
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
KON
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |