Adana Demirspor vs Rizespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
18º
11º
4
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 70 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 62 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 54 |
4º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 54 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 52 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 52 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 51 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
1 | 50 |
11º
|
4% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 47 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 46 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 43 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
4 | 42 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 36 |
18º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 32 |
19º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5.5% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
3% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adana Demirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
ADA
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 2
SUM
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 6
IST
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 1
ADA
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ADA
1 - 6
GFK
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rizespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
RIZ
1 - 1
IST
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIZ
2 - 2
NIC
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
HKR
3 - 4
RIZ
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 2
RIZ
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 0
RIZ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |