AD Valdefuentes vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Valdefuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CFJ
1 - 2
ADV
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ADV
3 - 1
MOR
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 3
ADV
62%
21%
18%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TAL
3 - 0
ADV
70%
18%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ADV
2 - 1
CPC
20%
20%
60%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
USA
0 - 2
SMA
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 2
CDN
35%
24%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GAR
3 - 2
SMA
57%
20%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 2
CPG
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
SMA
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |