AD Valdefuentes vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
54.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Valdefuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SJO
4 - 1
ADV
60%
19%
22%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ADV
2 - 3
TAL
11%
18%
71%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
ADV
81%
14%
5%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ADV
1 - 2
CHI
12%
20%
68%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PIO
2 - 1
ADV
53%
22%
26%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
UDF
5 - 2
GUA
22%
21%
56%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 2
CAT
63%
20%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CPG
3 - 5
GUA
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
CDB
32%
23%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CDD
1 - 0
GUA
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |