Saucillo vs Moya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
14%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+209%
+755%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saucillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 2
SAU
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAU
5 - 1
ITF
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 0
TCA
83%
11%
7%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAU
4 - 2
BAR
68%
17%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
SAU
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Moya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MOY
0 - 1
SSJ
28%
20%
52%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
MOY
44%
21%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MOY
1 - 3
SAR
42%
21%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
MOY
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MOY
1 - 0
GAR
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |