Tercera Playoffs Galicia Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
San Juan vs Puerta Bonita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
56.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
REC
2 - 2
ASJ
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ASJ
1 - 0
AYA
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
ASJ
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ASJ
0 - 1
ALG
25%
25%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
ASJ
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Puerta Bonita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
PBO
4 - 3
COL
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PNT
0 - 1
PBO
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PBO
0 - 0
ATM
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VLO
2 - 3
PBO
15%
23%
62%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PBO
0 - 1
ARA
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |