Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
San Juan vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASJ
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AYA
0 - 2
ASJ
9%
18%
74%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 2
CEU
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 0
ASJ
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASJ
2 - 2
COR
36%
26%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASJ
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MSM
0 - 1
MAR
11%
19%
70%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
LAU
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
JUM
1 - 5
MAR
30%
25%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
EGP
1 - 1
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |