AD San Agustín vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1987 |
AGU
3 - 1
PRO
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1987 |
AGU
0 - 2
ALI
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1987 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
PRO
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1986 |
RIV
3 - 1
PEÑ
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
1 - 1
PEÑ
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
MWA
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |