AD Portomosense vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Portomosense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MAF
7 - 2
ADP
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 3
ALC
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 2
ADP
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ADP
2 - 2
LOU
15%
20%
64%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ADP
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
FAT
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAF
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |