AD Plus Ultra vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
MLL
6 - 1
PUL
78%
12%
9%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
PUL
6 - 3
SLA
55%
20%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
PUL
7 - 2
TAL
82%
11%
8%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
SLA
2 - 0
PUL
75%
14%
11%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PUL
10 - 1
CDT
73%
14%
13%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 1
ELC
88%
8%
5%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
CAR
2 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 3
RSO
29%
22%
49%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 3
VAL
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |