Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 9-5
AD Plus Ultra vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
NUM
3 - 2
PUL
53%
20%
28%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
CFP
1 - 3
PUL
51%
20%
29%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
PUL
6 - 2
SEG
72%
15%
13%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
CDB
5 - 2
PUL
69%
16%
16%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
PUL
5 - 2
MAN
82%
11%
7%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
UBC
2 - 2
TAL
57%
19%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
SLA
3 - 0
UBC
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
UBC
4 - 1
CDT
53%
19%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
UBC
2 - 0
NUM
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
AVI
1 - 1
UBC
80%
11%
9%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |