Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 9-5
AD Plus Ultra vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
PUL
1 - 2
SEG
73%
14%
13%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
SLA
2 - 4
PUL
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
PUL
2 - 1
TOM
67%
16%
17%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
CPC
3 - 1
PUL
66%
16%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
PUL
2 - 2
FER
86%
8%
5%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
UBC
8 - 2
BEL
92%
6%
3%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ATZ
4 - 0
UBC
79%
12%
9%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
UBC
4 - 1
AZA
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SDS
5 - 0
UBC
71%
15%
14%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
UBC
2 - 2
TUD
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |