AD Plus Ultra vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
HER
1 - 0
PUL
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
CDT
2 - 2
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
SFE
3 - 0
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
PUL
2 - 0
XER
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
PUL
4 - 0
LEV
64%
18%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
SDC
1 - 0
XER
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
SFE
2 - 0
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
SDC
0 - 0
LEV
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
CDB
2 - 0
SDC
71%
17%
13%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SDC
1 - 1
BET
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |