AD Plus Ultra vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
10.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
HER
5 - 1
PUL
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1950 |
PUL
5 - 1
LEV
65%
17%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
PUL
4 - 1
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
MUR
1 - 0
PUL
70%
16%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
PUL
2 - 1
GRA
55%
21%
24%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SDC
2 - 1
BAL
50%
20%
30%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 0
SDC
68%
17%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SDC
6 - 3
CAD
80%
12%
8%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ALG
2 - 2
SDC
50%
20%
30%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
SDC
3 - 1
XER
76%
13%
11%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |