AD Plus Ultra vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
CEU
2 - 1
PUL
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
PUL
2 - 1
EXT
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
LEV
4 - 3
PUL
61%
21%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
PUL
4 - 2
SFE
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
CDT
2 - 2
PUL
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
REC
0 - 1
CCF
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
MLL
2 - 0
REC
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
REC
0 - 1
RJA
45%
24%
30%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
CDB
1 - 1
REC
66%
18%
16%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
VAL
7 - 0
REC
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |