AD Plus Ultra vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
20.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
HER
1 - 2
PUL
81%
12%
8%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
PUL
3 - 3
MUR
43%
22%
36%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 2
PUL
83%
11%
7%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SLA
1 - 2
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
PUL
4 - 1
RCD
51%
21%
28%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ZAR
2 - 2
GIM
86%
9%
6%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
ZAR
41%
22%
37%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
LLE
1 - 2
ZAR
47%
22%
32%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ZAR
7 - 2
SDE
87%
8%
5%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |