AD Plus Ultra vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
REC
2 - 2
PUL
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
PUL
4 - 0
CEU
67%
18%
15%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
EXT
2 - 2
PUL
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
PUL
4 - 2
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
SFE
3 - 3
PUL
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
MUR
2 - 0
CCF
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
MLL
2 - 0
MUR
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
MUR
3 - 1
RJA
56%
22%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CDB
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
MUR
1 - 1
VAL
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |