AD Plus Ultra vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
PUL
1 - 2
BUR
81%
12%
7%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
PUL
2 - 1
ORI
78%
13%
10%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 2
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
PUL
9 - 1
CPC
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
RCD
6 - 4
PUL
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1952 |
CPC
3 - 5
MUR
38%
22%
40%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
MUR
5 - 0
CPC
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1952 |
MEL
4 - 1
MUR
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
MUR
0 - 1
ALC
64%
19%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
MUR
6 - 1
MLL
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +2 |