AD Plus Ultra vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
SFE
2 - 1
PUL
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
LEV
3 - 0
PUL
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
PUL
4 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
RSO
3 - 1
PUL
79%
13%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
PUL
1 - 0
RSO
44%
23%
33%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
RJA
3 - 2
CFC
68%
17%
15%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
GRA
0 - 0
RJA
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDT
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
BAS
3 - 2
RJA
51%
23%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAS
61%
19%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |