AD Plus Ultra vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
CDO
1 - 0
PUL
68%
17%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
CAS
0 - 4
PUL
29%
25%
47%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
CEU
3 - 2
PUL
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
PUL
1 - 1
CDO
58%
20%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
PUL
3 - 2
SFE
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
CON
2 - 0
RJA
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDT
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
SFE
1 - 0
RJA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
RJA
1 - 1
CON
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
RJA
2 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |