Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-3
AD Plus Ultra vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
RSO
4 - 1
PUL
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
PUL
1 - 0
RUN
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
SLA
2 - 0
PUL
80%
15%
6%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
PUL
1 - 2
CFP
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
CAR
1 - 0
PUL
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
CDO
4 - 2
SIE
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDO
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
CDO
4 - 0
ROB
78%
16%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ENS
1 - 1
CDO
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
CDO
2 - 0
CUL
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | +1 |