AD Plus Ultra vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MUR
2 - 0
PUL
70%
17%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
PUL
4 - 3
RCD
56%
21%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
GRA
2 - 0
PUL
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
PUL
1 - 0
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
SLA
0 - 1
PUL
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MEL
4 - 1
LEV
65%
18%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
MLL
3 - 1
MEL
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
ATB
3 - 1
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 0
MUR
61%
19%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
RCD
3 - 2
MEL
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |