Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-4
AD Plus Ultra vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 0
DEP
42%
22%
36%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
DEP
3 - 1
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
RSO
2 - 3
PUL
82%
12%
7%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1959 |
PUL
1 - 1
RSO
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 0
ELD
62%
19%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 0
DEP
42%
22%
36%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
DEP
3 - 1
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
OVI
2 - 2
DEP
69%
16%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
DEP
1 - 0
OVI
50%
22%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
DEP
2 - 3
SAB
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |