AD Plus Ultra vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
UDE
3 - 1
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
PUL
1 - 5
GRA
62%
20%
19%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
EXT
3 - 0
PUL
77%
13%
10%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
PUL
2 - 2
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
XER
4 - 0
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
MAL
1 - 2
CDC
74%
16%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
CDT
2 - 2
MAL
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
UDE
1 - 1
MAL
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
MAL
2 - 1
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
EXT
2 - 0
MAL
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -2 |