AD Plus Ultra vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
PUL
0 - 2
UDL
54%
20%
26%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
RCD
2 - 0
PUL
65%
19%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1951 |
PUL
3 - 2
MLL
63%
18%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
SDC
3 - 1
PUL
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1951 |
PUL
3 - 1
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAL
56%
19%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
CAT
6 - 2
CAR
62%
19%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
CAR
3 - 1
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 1951 |
VAL
7 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
CAR
4 - 0
SLA
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |