AD Plus Ultra vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAL
3 - 1
PUL
58%
19%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
PUL
2 - 1
ALB
76%
13%
11%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 0
PUL
57%
19%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
PUL
6 - 1
VAL
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
MLL
6 - 1
PUL
78%
12%
9%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
CAR
2 - 0
ELC
43%
22%
34%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
CAR
0 - 3
ALB
47%
22%
32%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
9%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
CAR
2 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
NAV
1 - 0
CAR
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |