AD Plus Ultra vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CEL
2 - 0
PUL
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
PUL
5 - 1
CUL
61%
20%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
BAS
0 - 1
PUL
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
PUL
6 - 3
SLA
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
SPO
3 - 0
PUL
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
BUR
0 - 3
SDI
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
SAB
1 - 1
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
BUR
3 - 2
RSO
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
PON
1 - 0
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
BUR
3 - 0
CDO
36%
24%
39%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +3 |